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EAGGR – NHL Goal-Scorers

by Kyle Senra

July 6, 2021

in Fantasy Hockey, Featured, Featured, NHL, Opinion

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Who is the greatest goal-scorer in NHL history? It is that very question that led me to create the Era-Adjusted Goals per Game Rating. This process allows to evaluates each individual player’s goal-scoring success with reference to the NHL’s goal per game average for each of the seasons that a player was active. The result is EAGGR – NHL Goal-Scorers.

For each individual season, I took a player’s goal per game average and divided it by the goal per game average of the NHL for that same season. This gave me a percentage that represents that player’s goal per game rate as compared to the league average. After that, I took the EAGGR rating for every season in a player’s career and calculated the average amount. This percentage represents a player’s career average EAGGR.

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For the purposes of this article, only data from the 1942-43 season and later are included. That means that the players eligible for this list either played during the Original Six era or in more recent times. The Original Six era went from 1942-67 when only six teams played in the NHL.

Below are the top 30 NHL players ranked in order of career average EAGGR % rating.

Minimum 500 NHL games played.

Career Average EAGGR %

Rank	Player	EAGGR	Years Active
1	Alex Ovechkin	21.37 %	2005 –
2	Mario Lemieux	20.67 %	1984 – 2006
3	Mike Bossy	20.23 %	1977 – 1987
4	Pavel Bure	19.81 %	1991 – 2003
5	Bobby Hull	18.96 %	1957 – 1980
6	Steven Stamkos	18.67 %	2008 –
7	Maurice Richard	17.56 %	1942 – 1960
8	Cam Neely	17.35 %	1983 – 1996
9	Brett Hull	16.98 %	1986 – 2006
10	Jarome Iginla	16.86 %	1996 – 2017
11	Phil Esposito	16.68 %	1963 – 1981
12	Sidney Crosby	16.43 %	2005 –
13	Ilya Kovalchuk	16.38 %	2001 – 2020
14	Bernie Geoffrion	16.31 %	1950 – 1968
15	Jean Beliveau	16.27 %	1950 – 1971
16	Gordie Howe	16.12 %	1946 – 1980
17	Teemu Selanne	15.99 %	1992 – 2014
18	Peter Bondra	15.61 %	1990 – 2007
19	Rick Martin	15.35 %	1971 – 1982
20	Keith Tkachuk	15.22 %	1991 – 2010
21	Jaromir Jagr	15.06 %	1990 – 2018
22	Pat Lafontaine	15.04 %	1983 – 1998
23	Alexander Mogilny	14.96 %	1989 – 2006
24	Marcel Dionne	14.80 %	1971 – 1989
25	Rick Nash	14.75 %	2002 – 2018
26	Luc Robitaille	14.56 %	1986 – 2006
27	Joe Sakic	14.49 %	1988 – 2009
28	Wayne Gretzky	14.43 %	1979 – 1999
29	Paul Kariya	13.96 %	1994 – 2010
30	Brendan Shanahan	13.93 %	1987 – 2009

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The most evident aspect right off the bat is seeing Alex Ovechkin at #1. In spite of the fact that he is coming off of a career-low 24 goal season, Ovechkin maintains the top spot for a couple of reasons. First, EAGGR measures goals per game, and Ovechkin also played in a career-low 45 contests. In fact, Ovechkin has had 3 seasons with lower goals per game than his 2020-2021 campaign. Furthermore, the NHL goals-per-game dipped to a 4-year low at 2.94 G/G for the entire league. Therefore, Ovechkin won’t be dinged as hard in the EAGGR metric because it is always a percentage of the league-wide average.

As Ovechkin continues to put the puck in the net, he is solidifying himself as arguably the greatest goal-scorer the NHL has ever seen. For the rest of his career, it will be interesting to see if Ovechkin can maintain his goal-scoring prowess and retain the highest career average EAGGR. Or will he dip in his final few seasons and drop below Mario Lemieux or Mike Bossy?

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It will also be interesting to see where Steven Stamkos ultimately ends up ranked. He currently sits 6th on the career average EAGGR. Can he maintain a strong enough finish to his career in order to enter the top 5? Or will he dip further down the ranks with a less than stellar finish to his career? What about several young players who are scoring well but have not yet reached 500 games played? Where will they ultimately end up ranked? We will find out in time.

Thank you for reading EAGGR – NHL Goal-Scorers. Be sure to check out all of the great content available on Full Press Hockey.

– Kyle Senra is the managing editor for the Full Press Fantasy Sports. He covers the NFL. Like and follow on Follow @SenraSays Follow @FPC_FantasyPod and Facebook.